CME FedWatch

The CME FedWatch Tool, a widely monitored market-based probability tracker, currently indicates a 66.3% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain the federal.

The CME FedWatch Tool, a widely monitored gauge of market expectations for Federal Reserve policy, currently indicates a 62.1% probability that the central.

Data from the CME FedWatch Tool, which tracks market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate moves, indicates a 63.7% probability that the central.

Traders are pricing in a 100% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold its benchmark interest rate steady at its April.

WASHINGTON, D.C. – March 2025: Financial markets are currently pricing in a near-certainty that the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain its current benchmark.