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Bitcoin Struggles to Break Above $26,500 Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) faces challenges as it trades well below the critical $27,500 resistance level. The price hovers below $26,500 and remains below the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA). Traders are closely monitoring the situation, hoping for a potential reversal.

On the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair, sourced from Kraken, a key bearish trend line is taking shape, with resistance around the $26,420 mark. This trend line poses a significant obstacle for Bitcoin’s price, and a break above it is crucial for a bullish trend to emerge. However, without a close above the $26,500 level, the possibility of a renewed decline looms large.

Bitcoin initiated a fresh decline after dipping below the $26,800 level, breaching the $26,500 and $26,200 support levels, which pushed it into negative territory. Eventually, the cryptocurrency tested the $26,000 mark, with a low established at approximately $26,026.

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Recently, Bitcoin staged a minor recovery rally above the $26,200 level, surpassing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent drop from the $26,712 swing high to the $26,026 low. However, this drop’s 50% Fibonacci retracement level has proven to be a formidable barrier for bulls, as it remains unbreached.

The situation has Bitcoin trading below $26,500 and the 100-hourly SMA, which adds to the bearish sentiment. Immediate resistance on the upside lies near the $26,400 level, closely followed by a key bearish trend line with resistance at $26,420 on the hourly chart of BTC/USD.

Bitcoin must overcome the next significant hurdle at the $26,500 level to regain bullish momentum. In such a scenario, the price may ascend toward the $27,000 resistance, and further gains could target the $27,500 level.

However, if Bitcoin fails to initiate a fresh uptrend and remains below the $26,500 resistance, it might continue its descent. The immediate support on the downside is around $26,150, followed by a critical level at $26,000. A break below this level could open the door for a more substantial decline, testing the next support at $25,400, with $25,000 as a potential further downside target.

Technical indicators, such as the hourly MACD and the RSI (Relative Strength Index), suggest that bearish sentiment persists, with the RSI currently below the 50 level. Traders and investors are carefully watching these levels, as they may provide crucial insights into the future direction of Bitcoin’s price.

In summary, Bitcoin faces significant hurdles in breaking above $26,500, and the potential for further losses remains unless it can clear these resistance levels convincingly.

 

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