Dogecoin (DOGE) has been caught in a tight trading range, signalling a potential bearish breakout on the horizon. Sellers in the derivatives market have positioned themselves with shorts, holding a substantial 52.66% advantage over the longs. This analysis delves into the current state of DOGE’s price action and its implications for the cryptocurrency market.
DOGE has been trapped within a range for several weeks, stubbornly refusing to break out. The price has oscillated between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels since August 18th. Neither the bears nor the bulls have gained the upper hand, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty for traders and investors alike.
Adding to the market’s overall stagnation, Bitcoin (BTC) has been meandering between $25.6k and $26.4k, contributing to the prevailing sideways movement across the cryptocurrency spectrum.
A closer examination of DOGE’s historical price action reveals a recurring pattern. The meme-inspired cryptocurrency tends to trade sideways for an extended period before experiencing a significant price swing. Presently, DOGE’s price action is following this familiar trajectory.
As of the latest data, bears are strengthening their position. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the neutral 50, indicating a lack of buying pressure. Furthermore, the On Balance Volume (OBV) has declined by over 2 billion in the past 48 hours, hinting at an impending bearish breakout.
If the bears maintain dominance in the coming days, DOGE could potentially plummet to the $0.055 price level, representing year-to-date lows in June and August. Conversely, a resurgence of bullish sentiment in the broader market and increased DOGE speculation could spark a rebound, with potential price targets of $0.066 to $0.07.
Notably, futures traders have aligned themselves with the growing bearish sentiment. Data from Coinglass indicates that shorts now hold a 52.66% share of open contracts, marking a $5 million difference between long and short positions. This substantial disparity underscores the market’s expectation of DOGE heading south.
In conclusion, Dogecoin’s price action has been characterized by sideways movement, with bears gaining the upper hand in the derivatives market. The potential for a bearish breakout looms as we closely monitor DOGE’s trajectory. Traders and investors should exercise caution and watch key support and resistance levels as DOGE navigates this critical phase.
